Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Stevenage
30.1%
Draw
24.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Stevenage
vs
0.69
Wigan
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
0-0
15.9%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).