Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Cartagena
24.4%
Draw
60.1%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Cartagena
vs
1.61
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).