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12 Nov 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Liverpool
25.1%
Draw
28.5%
Brentford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Liverpool

vs
1.45

Brentford

Markets

BTTS66.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).