Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Stoke
30.9%
Draw
28.0%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Stoke
vs
0.98
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).