Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Fakel
37.6%
Draw
48.4%
Rubin Kazan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Fakel
vs
1.01
Rubin Kazan
Markets
BTTS23.1%
Over 0.574.9%
Over 1.543.1%
Over 2.517.4%
Over 3.55.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
25.1%
0-1
22.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-2
1.1%
0-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).