Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Aris
18.3%
Draw
16.7%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Aris
vs
1.01
Lyon
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).