Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Troyes
20.8%
Draw
59.5%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Troyes
vs
1.91
Lille
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).