⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

27 Apr 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
31.0%
Hatayspor
30.3%
Draw
38.7%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Hatayspor

vs
1.55

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).