Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Benfica
21.8%
Draw
14.5%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Benfica
vs
0.68
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).