Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Valencia
28.1%
Draw
28.8%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Valencia
vs
1.06
Girona
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).