Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Eldense
26.7%
Draw
16.3%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Eldense
vs
0.63
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).