Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Vitória Guimarães
31.7%
Draw
26.0%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.88
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).