Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Lazio
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Lazio
vs
0.95
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).