Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Ad. Demirspor
27.2%
Draw
54.3%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.93
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).