Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Coventry
23.6%
Draw
22.7%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Coventry
vs
0.89
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).