Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
St Pauli
34.2%
Draw
35.8%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
St Pauli
vs
0.98
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).