Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Harrogate
27.3%
Draw
57.0%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Harrogate
vs
1.36
Northampton
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-0
14.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).