Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Cambridge
19.7%
Draw
11.9%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Cambridge
vs
0.64
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).