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25 Feb 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Aris
32.3%
Draw
16.6%
Volos NFC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Aris

vs
0.59

Volos NFC

Markets

BTTS32.7%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.8%
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).