Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Birmingham
22.1%
Draw
10.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Birmingham
vs
0.64
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).