Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Pau FC
31.1%
Draw
35.2%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Pau FC
vs
1.12
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).