Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Lorient
22.2%
Draw
20.2%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Lorient
vs
0.87
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).