Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Santander
20.4%
Draw
22.8%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Santander
vs
1.30
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).