Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Newcastle
24.0%
Draw
14.5%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Newcastle
vs
0.86
West Brom
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).