⚽ FootballData
Oldham

Home

1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

09 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
31.5%
Oldham
29.9%
Draw
38.6%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Oldham

vs
1.06

Colchester

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).