Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Burton
24.0%
Draw
34.9%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Burton
vs
1.26
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).