Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Crawley Town
24.4%
Draw
46.8%
Bourne Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Crawley Town
vs
1.55
Bourne Town
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).