Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Forfar
28.8%
Draw
29.5%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Forfar
vs
1.30
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).