⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 20CSV

21 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
89.0%
Juventus
7.1%
Draw
3.9%
Crotone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.87

Juventus

vs
0.82

Crotone

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.7%
Over 3.568.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
8.9%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
5-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
5-1
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
4-2
2.9%
1-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).