Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Sp Gijon
27.2%
Draw
38.0%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Sp Gijon
vs
1.25
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).