Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Sevilla
19.4%
Draw
65.0%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sevilla
vs
2.24
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-3
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).