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DHT: 10CSV

21 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Panetolikos
32.9%
Draw
31.7%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Panetolikos

vs
0.99

Panionios

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).