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20 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Veres
30.5%
Draw
22.6%
Chornomorets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Veres

vs
0.76

Chornomorets

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).