Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Estoril
14.4%
Draw
11.2%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Estoril
vs
0.98
Chaves
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).