Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.8%
Estoril
14.8%
Draw
11.4%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Estoril
vs
0.95
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
5-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).