Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Notts County
27.7%
Draw
29.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Notts County
vs
0.96
Colchester
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).