Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Luton
28.3%
Draw
45.2%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Luton
vs
1.46
Norwich
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).