Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Airdrie Utd
13.2%
Draw
10.6%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Airdrie Utd
vs
1.28
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.583.7%
Over 3.567.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
4-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
5-1
4.3%
4-2
4.2%
5-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).