Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.6%
Estoril
12.1%
Draw
6.2%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Estoril
vs
0.82
AVS
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).