Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Spal
16.2%
Draw
75.0%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Spal
vs
2.29
Inter
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-1
12.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
0-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).