Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Lech Poznań
23.7%
Draw
26.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Lech Poznań
vs
1.37
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).