Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Stoke
24.8%
Draw
12.4%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Stoke
vs
0.63
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).