Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Cesena
29.5%
Draw
24.7%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cesena
vs
0.97
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).