Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Pisa
19.8%
Draw
69.6%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Pisa
vs
1.94
Milan
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
14.9%
0-3
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).