Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Doncaster
23.9%
Draw
42.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Doncaster
vs
1.53
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).