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28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.1%
Boreham Wood
17.2%
Draw
12.8%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Boreham Wood

vs
1.10

Dorking

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
4-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).