Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Farense
23.1%
Draw
67.9%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Farense
vs
1.58
Porto
Markets
BTTS25.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.5%
0-2
17.5%
0-0
13.6%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).