Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Sheffield Weds
20.8%
Draw
69.3%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.03
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.3%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).