Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Shrewsbury
27.0%
Draw
44.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Shrewsbury
vs
1.30
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).