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28 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Cadiz
32.1%
Draw
39.2%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Cadiz

vs
1.07

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).